Musk forecasts AI surpassing human intelligence by 2029
Elon Musk predicts AI surpassing human intelligence by 2029. Yann LeCun states current AI is less advanced than cats and dogs, highlighting the need for cognitive parity
There exists a pervasive concern regarding the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) to surpass human intellect, raising existential threats. Despite some dismissing this notion, many scientists assert that AI will indeed emerge as a formidable technology.
Elon Musk, CEO of the AI company xAI, has ignited a contentious discussion on social media by suggesting that AI could surpass the collective intelligence of humanity by 2029. This assertion comes amidst Musk's ongoing dispute with the creator of ChatGPT, OpenAI.
Musk boldly claims that AI may outstrip individual human intelligence as early as next year. In a post featuring a brief video clip from the Joe Rogan podcast, Musk alludes to a conversation between Rogan and Raymond Kurzweil, an esteemed American computer scientist and futurist. Kurzweil, in the podcast, confidently predicts that AI will attain human-level intelligence by 2029.
Kurzweil emphasizes that while AI hasn't reached that level yet, it is on track to achieve parity with human cognition within the next decade. He notes his own prediction from 1999, where he forecasted AI reaching human equivalence by 2029. At the time, many regarded his prediction as implausible. Even a Stanford conference convened to discuss his projection anticipated such advancements to unfold over a much longer timeframe, perhaps a century.
However, Kurzweil's foresight appears increasingly prescient, with advancements in AI accelerating at an unprecedented rate. The prospect of AI surpassing human intelligence within the foreseeable future prompts reflection on the profound implications and ethical considerations accompanying such developments.